.

Two More Gloomy Days Then a Nice Weekend is on the Way! Sandy May be Here on Monday!

A Few Showers for Today and Tomorrow, Sun Returns Friday!

 

Today: Cloudy & Cool with a Few Showers  High: 62

Tonight: Cloudy with a Couple of Showers  Low: 53

Tomorrow: Morning Showers, then Breaks of Sun  High:65 

 

Good Morning,

Scattered showers that developed in the Tri-State Area yesterday lasted well into the nighttime, but as we had suspected — most of them occurred from the City on north... In fact, you can just say "it rained for a while" late yesterday and early last night in parts of the Hudson Valley, the Catskills and in northern New Jersey... It is these locations that managed to pick up more than a tenth of an inch of rain during the past 24 hours... But, none of the rain has been excessive, or has resembled anything close to being a flood threat...

Today, an old frontal boundary will be the focal point of a few more showers... This front has become nearly stationary, and it will be draped over eastern Pennsylvania and central New Jersey for several hours... So, with plenty of clouds, some fog for a while this morning, and a light wind primarily out of the east and northeast, the rain gear should come in handy again today with most temperatures no higher than the lower or middle 60s this afternoon... A couple of spotty showers tonight will be accompanied by some drizzle and fog late...

We're still going to be in a rather dull, dreary-looking pattern early tomorrow, as this front only starts to lift to the north and east, only this time as a warm front... Expect plenty of early clouds, some fog and a shower, followed by what should be some brightening during the afternoon... Especially across southern Connecticut, in the Hudson Valley and on Long Island, the clouds may be very stubborn to break, and the temperature may not be much higher than 62 or 63 degrees... Conversely, if there is enough clearing in areas south and west of the City, like across central and South Jersey tomorrow afternoon, then temperatures should have no trouble approaching 70...

Despite some early fog on Friday, it appears that a high pressure system will be ensuring some unseasonably mild weather late this week and for the start of the upcoming weekend... There aren't too many negative things that can be said about Friday or Saturday, with most temperatures peaking in either the upper 60s or the lower 70s, and no less than partial sunshine...

However, as we've been telling you in recent days, there is the potential for the weather to begin deteriorating on Sunday, and it could become downright nasty around here early next week... As "Sandy" heads towards the Bahamas during the next 36 hours, it is expected to track to the north and northeast over the next few days...

We still are examining the global models and forecast models which specialize in handling tropical systems very closely, and are noticing that the future path of this storm is 'uncertain'... However, while some domestic forms of model guidance were simply pushing "Sandy" past Bermuda and then out into the central Atlantic about a day or two ago, their tracks are now starting to trend a little farther west...

The European global model has been the one which insists that "Sandy", whether it be a tropical storm, hurricane or a 'hybrid' low pressure system, will be very intense next Monday and Tuesday as it takes aim at southeastern New England... But New York City, Long Island and the Jersey Shore WOULD ALL BE IN CLOSE ENOUGH PROXIMITY to this very deep storm system (some models have implied its lowest central pressure could be less than 950 millibars) to feels its impacts... Very strong winds and heavy rain are possibilities that are "still not out of the question"...

But, perhaps even WORSE than the excessive rain is the fact that, if there's an upper level trough that 'captures' this wave and it spins its wheels off the Northeast Coast for more than 48 hours, there could be some significant wave activity that would lead to massive beach erosion...

If this is "beginning to sound a little bit" like the infamous 'Halloween Storm of 1991', then you probably already know what can happen... Hopefully, there won't be a 'phasing' between this tropical feature and the cold, upper level trough that will be planting itself in the eastern third of the country early next week...

If the storm simply makes a turn and heads out to sea Sunday night or Monday, then there would just be a cold front sweeping across the area, bringing a period of rain... Of course, the timing of this rain is also uncertain, but it would not be as intense or as long-lasting as what may happen if there's a powerful coastal storm located just off shore.

Have a good day !!!

This post is contributed by a community member. The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Patch Media Corporation. Everyone is welcome to submit a post to Patch. If you'd like to post a blog, go here to get started.

Boards

More »
Got a question? Something on your mind? Talk to your community, directly.
Note Article
Just a short thought to get the word out quickly about anything in your neighborhood.
Share something with your neighbors.What's on your mind?What's on your mind?Make an announcement, speak your mind, or sell somethingPost something
See more »